Suspend AB32 (Global Warming Solutions Act)...No, Thanks.
California’s Global Warming Solutions Act, more commonly referred to as AB 32, is a 2006 landmark piece of legislation aimed at reducing California’s greenhouse gas emissions in a manner that is both cost-effective and maximizes the economic benefits to the State. In the past week, however, a group has launched a ballot initiative to suspend the Act in the hopes of getting California’s economy “back on track” and “putting Californians to work”. The question of AB 32’s impact has also become an issue highlighted by several of the gubernatorial candidates.
Applied Materials is firmly against the repeal of AB 32 and believes the Act’s implementation will not dampen economic growth in California. Given California’s strong potential in the solar, wind and hydropower sectors and our unique expertise in these sectors, the state is uniquely positioned to benefit greatly from this policy.
Now is not the time to put up roadblocks on the path towards a low-carbon future. Blocking the implementation of AB 32 sends the message that we are not serious about committing to the green energy transition and the enormous economic benefits it will bring. Frankly, the citizens of California deserve better.
As you consider the merits of the effort to suspend AB 32, the following points are worth noting:
- There is more than a little irony in an effort to suspend a law that has widespread political and public support and indeed is hailed worldwide as a model for addressing the challenge of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
- Key elements of AB 32 are still in the design stage and the process has been extraordinarily open and inclusive. It is premature to condemn AB 32 as a drag on the California economy when the final framework is not even in place yet.
- The Air Resources Board, supported by independent economic analyses, estimates that achieving the greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets mandated by AB 32 supports a $76 billion increase in our Gross State Product (GSP), $48 billion increase in real household incomes, and the creation of 403,000 new efficiency- and climate-driven jobs. While this type of analysis is certainly open to further debate, the notion that suspending AB 32 is the key to getting California “back on track” seems extremely misguided.
- In evaluating a ballot initiative, it is often useful to “follow the money”, meaning examine who is sponsoring or financing a signature gathering effort. In the case of the AB 32 suspension, the New York Times has revealed that Tesoro Corp. and Valero Energy, two Texas-based refiners with operations in California, are the funders of the initiative. Both companies will be subject to some of AB32’s regulations and have a direct stake in pushing back. Their participation in the initiative process is entirely legitimate, but that also suggests the claims of economic ruin are hollow. California’s environmental and economic policy should not be dictated by narrow, special interests.
California’s natural environment and its citizens are physically threatened by the impacts of climate change; those impacts are already being felt. Addressing greenhouse emissions and the resulting impacts via AB 32 should be viewed as an imperative and as an enormous economic opportunity for the State rather than merely as a risk-filled policy. The vision of the legislation and hard work that has been devoted to sensibly implementing the Act should not be derailed.




Comments
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Great one! This is actually beneficial to everyone its very edifying and suitable to read. Try reading more articles about global warming at www.cairnsweb.net for more information.
Ethan Johnson
cairnsweb.net
Global Warming and Cooling is Natural and Cyclical
Global warming hysteria is the reason this AB 32 has become law. It will cause the loss of countless jobs and industry in California. I say repeal.
Sincerely,
Frank Hamann
Right on the Money
We shouldn't let two Texas oil companies buy their way onto our ballot. Say no to Valero --- www.NoOnValero.com
Isn't AMAT a special interest?
Dear to my heart! AMAT is my special interest as well as my stock price. Whether AB32 is good or not I won't speculate, but generally incentives work better than penalties. Penalties channel money to governments and based on our current CA gov and the fed ... we know how well they can spend money for nothing and not on the intended program. Why not make all energy companies tax free in the USA if they spend that tax money on alternate clean energies? This incentive would channel perhaps $50B/year to clean energy and provide these companies with the spoils of the manufacturing and resultant power plants. Direct investment by free market companies is always ... always! more efficient than sending money to any government in this country.
I think the difficulty is ...
in convincing citizens that there will be a positive economic output from transitioning to efficiency and climate driven industries. It is easy for the opposition to point out the jobs that will be lost. As you point out, this doesn't tell the whole story, but it is true, if not partially true. Jobs are always displaced when new technology is found that does something better and more efficiently (cheaper) than before.
I think often times we get so passionate about the environmental movement that we come across as not compassionate for the thousands of people who make a living in the "dirty" industries. These are folks just like me who just want to make a decent wage and are trying to get ahead. We should not be surprised when coal miners in southern states get easily riled up when others want to build wind farms in their states.
Again, it is easier to point to jobs that already exist and say those will go away. It is harder to say that x-amount of jobs will be created when they have not been created yet. It is an abstraction that we cannot perfectly predict. So it takes a little faith I think, and some quality leaders to lead us through the hard transition and convince those of us that will have to retool ourselves for the new economy. The tech industry is used to this and workers there understand this well, I believe. But just look at how difficult it has been for the auto workers to get. Their unions are fighting to maintain high wages in a declining industry. Instead, they should be helping these skilled workers get re-skilled for new jobs. I think this is where we fail a lot and politicians love to use this as a wedge to win votes.
Bruce, I think you do a great job on writing on this topic. I would love to hear from you on more details of how we can expect an overall positive economic outcome (i.e. more better paying jobs). How do economists do the analysis?
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